Year 11 Maths A Investigation FINAL

 

Stage 1 Mathematics

Arch Bridge Design Investigation

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A Part of the Quadratics Topic

Year 11 Maths A

Name: Noah Nishihara


 

 

 

 

 

 

Table of Contents

Introduction. 3

Results and Interpretation: 3

Analysis of Models. 6

Regression Modelling. 7

Limitations. 8

Conclusion. 8

Bibliography. 10

Appendices. 10


 

Introduction

The purpose of this investigation will beto test the effectiveness of quadratic functions in modelling arches.Accurate representations of pre-existing structures are required, and by using parabolic functions, the modelling of archesis expected to be successful. A wide concave arch will be found within a photo taken from a point facing perpendicular to the bridge to ensure it is a front-on view of the Anji Bridge in China. Toformulate models, its imagewill be imported to Geogebra to assign a pair of axes,for which the x-axis lies on the baseline of the bridge. Using the zoom function, evenly spaced points will be highly accurately plotted along the outer ‘line’below the arch bridge. The vertex of the arch will be estimated to be below the sculptured faceof a lion and x-intercepts plotted where the bridge meets the ground.

Next, an algebraic method will be chosen to create functions based on points of the actual arch. To compare and determine the most accurate function, three quadratic forms which are the factored form, vertex form, and general form, are to be solved for using different points.The two x-interceptswill determine factored form. The coordinates of a third point on the arch will then be substituted into the function. The coordinates of an estimated vertex into which the coordinates of a second point on the arch will be substitutedwill givethe vertex form. Thereafter, instead of relying upon comparisons of only a single different third or second point, three random points on the arch will be selected and substituted into the function to determine the general form. The three equations will be solved simultaneously and with technology. Effects of different points on the resulting quadratic model will bediscussed along with visual comparisons through direct graphing of models in Geogebra.This involves observing the extent of the overlap between the models and the actual arch.This will allow three best-fitting quadratic models to be derived.

Because the intended outcome is also to determine the most effective modelling method for arches, the three best-fitting models derived from the algebraic method will be compared with the actual arch. A prediction of the model with least variance will be made. To achieve greater accuracy in this comparison, the variance between the modelled heights and the actual heights of the arch will be found. This will becalculated for ten evenly spaced points spanning the arch. The ten resulting differences will then be added to give the overall variance. The variance will be derived for three different equations and the prediction of the model with least variance will be tested.

Regression modelling will be used to derive quadratic modelsbased on points inputted. A comparison will be made between regression models fitting fewer points with those fitting a greater number of points. This is to test the impact of the amount of points onhow well the curve fits to the arch.The r2 value will be recorded to give a measure of accuracy for reference. The results will be analysed and discussed by taking into consideration limitations and reasonableness of the process.

Results and Interpretation:

Figure 1 Initial Points Across Bridge

Several points were accurately plotted across the outer ‘line’ below the arch bridge. X-intercepts were plotted at the intersection of the bridge and the ground. The vertex of the arch wascalculated with estimated to be below the sculptured face of a lion.Figure 1 was the resulting diagram. Approximate models were algebraically constructed with these points in factored, vertex, and general form. Final answers were in the standard general form. Sample calculations have been included along with explanations of the method used. The effects of different points on the results were determined and explained after an understanding ofthe results.

Firstly, three points were selected on the arch of which the coordinates were used to derive the equation of the quadratic function in the factored form of . The two x-intercepts of the arch in the photo were substituted into the α and β of the factored form of a quadratic. The x and y coordinates of the chosenthird point were then substituted into the x and y of the function,respectively, to solve for the leading coefficient . After rearranging to solve for the leading coefficient was then distributed,following the distribution law,across the expanded quadratic to find the quadratic model in general form. This process was repeated with other points to obtain an accurate model.

 

The most accurate parabola obtained from the three points in factored form was that of  . It was obtained with the two x-intercepts  and the vertex, point as shown in the calculation below:

 

For vertex form, which involved constructing models of the chosen arch with only the coordinates of the vertex and a second point on the arch, the steps followed are outlined below while the calculations and results are beside the factored form results above. This has been done out of page constraints.

It can be observed that the coordinates of the vertexare first substituted into thevertex form function , where h is replaced by 4.1 and k by 1.62 because the axis of symmetry is x = h.Because the value of a(x-h)2 becomes zero when x is substituted into the function, y is therefore equal to the value of k.This is how the coordinates of the vertex are substituted into the vertex form function.

The first example shows the coordinates of point S were substituted into the vertex form function to solve for . The resulting valuewas then substituted into the first function ; the brackets of (x-h)2were expanded.The function was simplified to achieve a quadratic function in general form.It was noted that point S had the same y coordinate as the vertex as it was too close to the vertex point. This resulted in a straight-line equation and was omitted from the models.

This process was repeated for points P and Q. So, forvertex form the coordinates of the vertex were used together with the coordinates of a second point on the arch. The vertex turning point was located at (h,k) = (4.1,1.62). The chosen (x,y) points on the arch were: S (3.8, 1.62), P (2.9, 1.54), and Q (3.2, 1.58) as well as C(-0.4,0) and D(8.5,0) and M(2,1.3)included in Appendix 2. The value wasthen found after rearranging the equation given from two points. A visual comparison of the graphs derived from point M with those of point C and D revealed that y-coordinatesaffectedthe leading coefficient more than x-coordinates.For example, points C and D had the y-coordinate of zero and both had the same slope of -0.08.

For the general form quadratic y=ax2+bx+c, the first setof coordinates chosen included points O (2.5, 1.45), W (4.9, 1.57), and F1 (6.9, 1.01) from which:  resulted using technology as shown in Appendix 4. These points were chosen along the top and right side of the arch.

It was found following the graphing of results that the selection of certain points raised the level of accuracy more than others.The factored form calculations required the selection of a third point. The points were chosen from different sections of the bridge. Although the vertex gave best results, point G1 on the far right, point V on the right of the vertex and point I on the far left side of the bridge were also attempted. Of these, point G1 had a greater value (-0.09). From this it was concluded that random points are likely to achieve more accurate results (closer to -0.08) if chosen from the left to middle sections of the bridge. Nonetheless, the vertex and x-intercepts were chosen as they were non-random points with the greater likelihood of creating accurate models.It was found that points in the middle of the actual arch gave more accurate leading coefficient values while those on the left gave smaller leading coefficient values. Points on the right gave larger leading coefficient values. This was also proven with the table in Appendix 8.

Again, in the vertex form calculations, the second point was selected based on different regions of the bridge. In this case, points situated relatively close to each other have been included above. Points M, P, and Q have the slopes, -0.07, -0.06, and -0.05 respectively. Only the graph of point M lies close to the actual arch line. [Check P and Q] The other two (x-intercept) calculations are accurate. It can be summarised that the closer to the vertex the second point is, the less accurate the resulting model will become. This is proven by the calculation involving point S.

 

The selection of the three points altered the coefficient of x in the function of the model from 0.69 to 0.61. The value of 0.61 comes from the first set with two points on the right side of the bridge. The value of 0.69 is derived with a set of two points on the left side of the bridge. The result 0.68 also comes from two points on the left and one on the right. It was found that using two points on the right side caused the model to come closer to the actual arch on the right side, however, it rose above the actual arch on the left side. With the function with the coefficient of 0.68, the right side of the model rose above the actual arch. Also, the use of points on the far left side caused the model to rise further (the white line of Appendix 6).

Analysis of Models

Table1:A comparison of models resulted in three different models deemed to best fit the arch

Method used

Resulting Equation

y=-0.08x2+0.66x+0.28

y=-0.08x2+0.67x+0.28

y=-0.09x2+0.67x+0.28

y=-0.07x2+0.574x+2.7967

y=-0.06x2-0.49x+0.6114

y=-0.05x2+0.41x+0.7795

Y= -0.075x2+0.605x+0.41

Figure 2 Three best models

The coloured parabolas were graphed and are shown in Figure2, respective to its colour in the table above. Nine resulting equations of each of the three methods were graphed and included in Appendix 6.Of the best three models selected from a total of nine models, the graph with the least variance was predicted to be y=-0.08x2+0.66x+0.28 as it lay below the others and was closest to the actual bridge arch. It overlapped the actual arch more than the parabola of Y= -0.075x2+0.605x+0.41.

To test this prediction, eighteen new points spaced at intervals of 0.5 were chosen. These points are shown in the second diagram of Appendix 1. Firstly, using the spreadsheet function of Geogebra, the absolute value of the difference in height between the arch of the bridge and parabola y=-0.08x2+0.66x+0.28 was calculated.Refer to the first diagram of Appendix 5. Column A was first filled with x coordinates of all bridge points from left to right. The y coordinates of the parabola werethen calculated in column B by typing f(x) where x becomes the x coordinates of bridge points. The y coordinates of the actual arch then needed to be input in place of the x coordinates in column A whereby the difference of y coordinates of both the arch and model could be calculated. Copying data from Geogebra to Excel revealed that the y coordinates of the parabola became accurate (four decimal places instead of two).

In the second diagram of Appendix5, the A column is the height of the actual arch according to the y axis, the B column is the height of the chosen model, and the differences are in the C column. Because the variance was in decimals and cannot be interpreted, the differences were added together and the overall variance found. This was 18.3 for A, 18.5116 for B giving the overall variance 0.4044. The chosen model waspositioned higher than the original arch overall, but the comparison required other parabolas, hence, the other two models were drawn on Geogebra. It was predicted that the overall variance of the others would be greater than 0.4044. The parabola f(x)= -0.05x2+0.41x+0.7795 was then drawn. The overall variance of this pair of graphs turned out to be 3.9795. Finally, the parabola f(x) = -0.075x2+0.605x+0.41was drawn. The overall variance of this pair of graphs turned out to be 0.70325.Therefore, the parabola with the least overall variance is parabola y=-0.08x2+0.66x+0.28 which proved the prediction made previously based on visual comparisons.

The overall variance successfully reflected the difference in heights between the chosen model and the actual arch. It was assumed that the model was positioned on the actual arch. If the actual arch and the model were near, the variance would be approaching zero. The calculations acted as proof for the visual comparisons undertaken above.

Regression Modelling

To further clarify the quadratic model that best fits the actual arch, regression modelling was undertaken with the graphics calculator CG20AU and Excel. Inthe fx-CG20 AU graphics calculator, the same eighteen points were first entered into the Stat app in two columns for both x and y coordinates, and the quadratic function was calculated. It was noticed that the graph had vertex (4.08, 1.64), which is close to the estimated point T (4.1, 1.62). All other points were accurate to the nearest hundredth decimal place. The result is included in the bottom right of Appendix 4.

Using theMicrosoft Excelsoftware on a computer, a simple scatter plot was drawn using the eighteen points, and then a trend linewas put onto it. The polynomial function that resulted was y = -0.0814x2 + 0.6646x + 0.285 with a coefficient of determination of r² = 0.9993. This was the same outcome as CG20AU and indicated that most of the points fit the modelled regression. This model was deemed to be reasonably accurate as the points were plotted suitably accurately.In an attempt to find a higher r2 value, the previous points used for algebraic calculations (total of 32) were input into Excel and the same process was followed to plot an accurate line. Some of these points had the same y-intercept (e.g. 1.62). The resulting function of the trend line was y = -0.0819x2 + 0.6682x + 0.2779 with an r² value of 0.9991. The accuracy of the trend line decreased by close to 0.0002. Increasing the number of points hadlowered the accuracy of the resulting model.The r2 value was found to be very close to 1 for all models, showing that the accuracy was high. The residuals would have increased as the number of points increased thus giving a lowerr2 value. Following this, the prediction quality of Excel was then compared with Eureqa.

For the regression model generated with Eureqa Pro Academic, the two sets of coordinate points were combined and inputted to model a more precise arch with negligible errors. The 49 coordinates resulted in y= -0.08143x2+0.6648x+0.2822 without the sorting of x-coordinate data into ascending order. Refer to the first diagram of Appendix 7. On the second attempt, the data resulted in y= -0.08165x2+0.6664x+0.2833. This is the result after the sorting and all the coefficients have become larger.This function, y=-0.08x2+0.67x+0.28 was inputted into Geogebra (due to the decimal place restriction) and the parabolic function was found to be generally overlapping the actual arch, but would cross over to the outer side at the vertex and at the x-intercepts.

The final smoothed arch quadratic function was y= -0.08035x2+0.6574x+0.2896.The smoothing capabilitywas found to allow the final model to better fit the points. This function had an r2 value of 0.994.The Mean Absolute Error (average of all absolute errors) came as 0.028699197. The maximum error was 0.13932556. Refer to the third diagram of Appendix 7. Additionally, this function, y= -0.08x2+0.66x+0.29, was graphed in Geogebra, showing a much improved overlap between the model and the actual arch at the vertex. The x-intercepts were not met because quadratic functions are limited in their ability to curve excessively to meet the ends of the bridge arch. This was the best model derived with Eureqa.

The higher power functions were believed to model the arch better, however, the cubic functions andother results were complex and graphing was not attempted. Thus, the two cubic functions with similar accuracy to the quadratic were not tested. The residuals or the vertical distances between plotted coordinates and the quadratic regressionwere found to besimilar to the variance. Nine points lay above the model. These were positive residuals. Ten negative residuals were observed. However, these ten points below the model were closer to the line of the model than the positive residuals. Twenty-nine residuals were zero, as the points lay on the line.Thebalance of positive and negative residuals was also proof of the validity of this model.Based on the above discussion, the errors of regressions are necessary for all models. Perfect models fitting all inputted points cannot be created.It is important however to also examine the different regression models and how they are affected by the position of the points inputted.

Both y= -0.08035x2+0.6574x+0.2896 from Eureqa and y = -0.0814x2 + 0.6646x + 0.285 (or algebraically derived y=-0.08x2+0.66x+0.28) from Excel were considered accurate and effective parabolic functions modelling the bridge. The difference (between the regression and algebraic models) of the constant c value was 0.01, and resulted in the Eureqa function situated closer to the bridge than the algebraic model. For reference, a diagram has been included in Appendix 9.

Limitations

The first limitation of this investigation occurs as a parallax error in the photo of the chosen arch bridge. This is because the camera taking the photo was not at a perpendicular angle to the face of the bridge. If the lengthwise of the camera body is not parallel with the face of the bridge, the viewing distance from the viewpoint of the camera to the ends of the bridges (x-coordinates) will be skewed. The photo of the Anji Bridge chosen was taken facing slightly to the right. Thus, the disparity in the distance between the bridge to the viewer can be rectified by acknowledging the problem and addressing it by using single-lens reflex cameras in which the viewfinder uses the same lens as the lens used for taking the photo. This can be done if the arch photo is taken locally. In the event that this is not possible, increasing the distance between the camera and the bridge can also reduce error.

The zoom function was utilised during the plotting of points along the arch. However, the coordinates of the points could only be determined to 2 decimal places. This limited the precision of the later derived quadratic models and resulted in functions which inaccurately reflect the actual arch to some degree. To address this issue, a software package with greater capabilities and exactness of points could have been used. In addition, the imported arch image size was smaller than expected. Indeed the small size meant greater reliance on detailed coordinates. Due to the two decimal place restriction, there existed an ambiguity, namely involving the points situated too closely to one another. These occupy different positions but have the same coordinates. During the graphing, it was found that because Geogebra rounds numbers to two decimal places, the graphs of some algebraically derived models may not accurately reflect the function it is representing. In this case, an value of 0.075 was rounded to 0.08. Overall, the precise plotting of points and graphing is beneficial but not necessary for comparisons of accuracy. There was minimal need for more than two decimal places. Also, accuracy in graphing was obtained by using different software, however, the photo of the actual arch was not present. Thus it was difficult to graph and compare the models with certainty.

In choosing the two x-intercepts for factored form, the x-axis provided greater accuracy to the positioning by ensuring that both points are horizontally on the same level. However, the distance between them may not be accurate. This is because the intersection of the outer rim (actual arch) of the bridge with the ground varies. For instance the left side intersection may have been covered with more sand than the other, thus resulting in a straight x-axis touching both points. It may be straight but the distance is not correct. For vertex form, the accuracy of the vertex was determined by the position of the animal face in the middle of the bridge. The algebraically constructed models of the arch resulted in functions with values of more than four decimal places. By using approximate values of coordinates in the quadratic equations, and then graphing functions with coefficients rounded off to two decimal places, errors are used and compounded.

This systematic error also affects the y coordinates of points plotted on the actual arch during the variance based comparison. Not only were the three derived models based on approximate values; every calculation was. Adding the results together resulted in an overall variance. Comparisons of the overall variance were mostly accurate but not definite.

Finally in the regression modelling, the points chosen in Geogebra (of which two sets were used) again presented a minor problem. The two types of technology used found unnecessarily precise numbers for the function fitting the inputted points. If precise coordinates had been inputted in the first place, this function would better fit the actual arch, which is the sole aim of this investigation. Any inaccurately plotted points would affect the final function. It cannot be deemed certain that no mistakes were made in the copying of coordinate points as values into the spreadsheet and calculator either. The results from the two methods could be cross-referenced with Eureqa. In terms of greatest actual arch resemblance, the Eureqa results were proven by visual and numerical comparison to be highly accurate regardless of the error that was created by the plotted points. Functions which model the chosen arch bridge better were found however they were difficult to model.

Conclusion

From this investigation the most effective arch fitting the Zhaozhou Bridge was found. The process taken to achieve this outcome began with the selection of the ZhaozhouBridge in China and its placement on the x-axis in graphing software. Points were plotted along the bottom of the bridge arch and used to mathematically construct models. Subsequently, various selections of points and methods were used to determine the most effective method. To consider the model which fit the arch best, three models (functions) were found via algebraic means. The results are summarised below.

Two x-intercepts and another random point gave the functions:

§  y=-0.08x2+0.66x+0.28

§  y=-0.08x2+0.67x+0.28

§  y=-0.09x2+0.67x+0.28

The calculations using the vertex and one random point gave:

Ø  y=-0.05x2+0.41x+0.7795

Ø  y=-0.07x2+0.574x+2.7967

Ø  y=-0.06x2-0.49x+0.6114

Three random points substituted into the general form gave:

·         y= -0.075x2+0.605x+0.41

·         y= -0.08x2+0.69+0.27

·         y=-0.08x2+0.68x+0.27

Upon graphing all obtained models, the most accurate algebraically solved model was found to be:

y=-0.08x2+0.66x+0.28

This was determined bythe factored form of y=a(x-α)(x-β).The final smoothed arch quadratic functionof Eureqawas y= -0.08035x2+0.6574x+0.2896, which also supports this. Both were considered accurate and effective parabolic functions modelling the bridge. The difference of the constant c value was 0.01, and resulted in the Eureqa function situated closer to the bridge than the former.Thus the Eureqa function models the actual arch more accurately.

This investigation proves that parabolic functions can successfully reflect actual arch models seen in our everyday lives. It has determined an accurate and effective arch for the Anji arch bridge. The parabolic model:

y=-0.08x2+0.66x+0.28

was found to have the greatest accuracy.It could be stated that the vertex and the x-intercepts brought greater accuracy than other points. The vertex and x-intercepts were non-random points which will always allow a model to roughly fit the actual arch if substituted into the factored form quadratic function. To solve the problem, it was necessary to include as many different methodologies and technology types to ensure that results were consistent throughout. Issues that were overcome included entering the coordinate points correctly, software inconsistencies, and the understanding of limitations.

Due to the necessity of accurate architectural plans or diagrams, the modelling of real-life architectural features involving arches was attempted with parabolic functions. Through this investigation, the extent of the effectiveness of parabolic functions in modelling arches has been determined. This includes an understanding of the ability of parabolas to model arches very well but less accurately for certain curves such as the edges of the Anji bridge. The method that gave the best result was the regression modelling with Eureqa. Moreover, regardless of the method used, non-random points including vertex and x-intercept points were found to have the best results.

The investigation results indicated a method of increasing the accuracy of all modelling of arches. To increase the accuracy of the resulting models, more points were chosen. This was particularly apparent with the vertex form calculations with only a selection of two points. The results for vertex form calculations were highly inaccurate, while those of factored and general form, due to the nature of it allowing three points to be chosen, were more likely to derive a close-fitting arch. Factored form only allowed the choosing of one third point, as the x-intercepts were necessary for the calculation. This allowed most attempts to derive a close-fitting arch, whereas general form was still likely to derive skewed arches depending upon the choice of points. This further suggests the use of non-random points as surely the easiest way to increase accuracy with fewer points. It was certain that in the regression modelling, the inputting of 49 coordinates allowed the most accurate function to be derived. The use of more points raises the overall accuracy to a substantial extent.

use of more points

Further research into the Zhaozhou Bridge could involve a physics investigation of how the overall structure, including the arch, was able to maintain its strength for centuries.

 

 

 

 

 

Bibliography

河北赵州桥图片-城市-(n.d.), 一起悦读网, Photograph, accessed 25 March 2017, <http://img.171u.com/image/1205/2709214375982.jpg>.

Appendices

Appendix 1: Anji/Zhaozhou Bridge

[("Safe crossing bridge") is the world's oldest open-spandrel segmental arch bridge of stone construction; Length:

50.82 m;Width: 9.6 m; Height: 7.3 m. Constructed in the years 595-605 CE]

Points for initial calculations

Points for variance calculations

 

Appendix 2: Further Calculations

Appendix 3: Line of y=1.62

Appendix 4: CG20 General form equation method and regression method

 

 

Appendix 5: Spreadsheets for Variance calculations

Note: Pictures are in order followed in discussion.

For y= -0.08x² + 0.66x + 0.28

 

 

 

For -0.05x² + 0.41x + 0.7795

For -0.075x² + 0.605x + 0.41

 

Appendix 6: Nine Models of All Algebraic Methods

Note: Pictures are in order followed in discussion.

Appendix 7:Eureqa Regressions

Note: Pictures are in order followed in discussion. Third picture is the best model.

Appendix 8: Further results of calculations finding leading coefficient values

Note: Points in middle give more accurateleading coefficient values; Points on the left give smaller leading coefficient values; Points on the right give larger leading coefficient values

Table of Values Derived from Points Factored Form

 

Leading Coefficient

Third Point

Position of Point

-0.078

E

Left

-0.09

H1

Right

-0.0826

R

Middle

-0.0839

J

Left

-0.0823

W

Middle

-0.0819

H

Left

-0.0848

D1

Right

-0.103

J1

Right

-0.0865

F1

Right

-0.0818

T

Middle

-0.0825

B1

Right

-0.0833

M

Left

-0.0833

K

Left

-0.0833

I

Left

-0.0786

G

Left

-0.0568

F

Left

Table of Values Derived from Points Vertex Form

Leading Coefficient

Second Point

Position of Point

-0.08

C

Left

-0.08

D

Right

-0.0726

M

Left

-0.0796

H

Left

-0.0778

F1

Right

-0.078125

W

Right

-0.0787

I

Left

Note: Points further from the vertex are more likely to have accurateleading coefficient values

 

Appendix 9: Comparison of Regression and Calculated Functions

Dotted red line: Eureqa regression function; Blue line: algebraically derived function

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